Santa Lucía vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 3
SLU
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 1
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SLI
1 - 1
SLU
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
4 - 1
SIR
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 0
SLU
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 0
HIB
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SIR
1 - 1
HAM
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
GUD
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
NAX
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GZI
4 - 1
HAM
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |