Santa Lucía vs Floriana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
24%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
62.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
14º
12º
37
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
SLU
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
PIE
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 2
SLU
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 0
ZEB
65%
23%
12%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
FLO
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
1 - 1
GZI
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 0
FLO
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 1
HAM
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |