Cotzumalguapa vs Xinabajul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
12º
29
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SLC
1 - 3
COB
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
2 - 1
SLC
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 0
GUA
33%
32%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
XIN
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
0 - 1
MUN
30%
30%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
XIN
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
XIN
2 - 1
SLC
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |