Cotzumalguapa vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
12º
12º
23
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 49% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 51% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotzumalguapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SLC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 1
SLC
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 0
COB
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 0
SLC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
4 - 2
XIN
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
CHI
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |