Santa Iria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 0
IRI
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
IRI
1 - 0
TOR
12%
18%
71%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +4 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SIN
1 - 1
IRI
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 2
PRA
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 4
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 2
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 2
OLI
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
GAF
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |