Santa Helena vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GIO
2 - 0
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
ANA
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
JAR
63%
18%
19%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AEE
0 - 1
SAN
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
GIO
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
JAR
76%
17%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 3
ATB
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 1
ANA
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |