Santa Helena vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRA
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
APA
3 - 1
SAN
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 4
VIL
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
GOI
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
APA
1 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 1
GOI
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATL
12%
18%
71%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 0
TRI
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |