Santa Gema vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 0
ARA
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 1
GEM
59%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GEM
4 - 2
SMI
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
GEM
5 - 1
VER
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 1
GEM
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
NAC
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
ARA
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
TAU
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |