Santa Gema vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 3
GEM
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 0
GEM
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
GEM
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 3
SMI
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 1
ARA
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
IND
70%
19%
10%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
SFF
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |