Santa Gema vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
COS
0 - 1
GEM
37%
30%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
VER
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 0
GEM
62%
24%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 0
GEM
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
CHO
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
DIR
0 - 4
CHO
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
AMA
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHO
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |