Santa Gema vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
ARA
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
AMA
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 1
GEM
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 0
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 1
GEM
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
CHO
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
SFF
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHO
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |