Santa Gema vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
GEM
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
GEM
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 2
SFF
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 0
TAU
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GEM
0 - 1
AMA
31%
31%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 0
VER
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CHO
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |