Santa Gema vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 0
GEM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
GEM
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
GEM
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 0
GEM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 1
SFF
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAU
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
TAU
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAU
2 - 0
ARA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -3 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 1
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 3
ARA
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |