Santa Gema vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
AMA
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 1
GEM
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GEM
0 - 0
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 1
GEM
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VER
2 - 2
GEM
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 2
TAU
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
ARA
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VER
1 - 4
ARA
28%
29%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SFF
2 - 0
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |