Santa Gema vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
GEM
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
GEM
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 1
GEM
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 3
TAU
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
GEM
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 3
TAU
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
SMI
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VER
0 - 2
AFC
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |