Santa Gema vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 0
AMA
23%
31%
46%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
GEM
60%
25%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 1
VER
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 0
SFF
22%
28%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GEM
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TAU
3 - 2
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
AFC
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |