Santa Fe vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2011 |
EQU
4 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 1
CAL
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 2
SFE
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
EQU
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
EQU
0 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |