Santa Fe vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
SFE
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
PAT
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SFE
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
SFE
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CCP
4 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |