Superliga Final
Global 3-1
Santa Fe vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 0
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 0
CAL
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SFE
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |