Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 1-3
Santa Fe vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
SFE
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SFE
4 - 0
JAG
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SFE
0 - 1
ALI
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
JUN
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
JUN
4 - 0
ENV
68%
21%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 3
JUN
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
JUN
21%
28%
51%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |