Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Santa Fe vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
JWI
3 - 2
SFE
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
BSC
2 - 2
SFE
57%
20%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
SFE
3 - 0
BSC
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
JWI
3 - 2
SFE
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
JWI
1 - 1
PEÑ
51%
22%
28%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
PEÑ
7 - 1
JWI
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |