Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
LLA
3 - 1
SFE
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 0
SFE
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 1
EQU
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 0
FOR
69%
20%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
SFE
1 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 3
ONC
39%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 3
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAS
0 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
IND
2 - 0
ENV
56%
23%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |