Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 3-2
Santa Fe vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SFE
4 - 0
ALI
53%
28%
20%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
SFE
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
SFE
2 - 0
JUN
56%
26%
19%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
SFE
0 - 2
NAC
41%
31%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
SFE
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
ONC
3 - 1
ENV
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ENV
0 - 1
JUN
30%
30%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ENV
1 - 1
CAL
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 2
ENV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |