Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 4-2
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
SFE
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PER
0 - 1
SFE
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
1 - 0
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 3
DEP
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
0 - 1
ZUL
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 2
MIR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 1
LAR
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |