Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-2
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SFE
1 - 1
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 0
SFE
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
SFE
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
SFE
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SFE
1 - 0
JAG
59%
25%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ONC
4 - 0
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
SFE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |