Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
SFE
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 2
CHI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 2
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
TOL
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |