Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-4
Santa Fe vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
PAS
0 - 1
SFE
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 2
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 0
SFE
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
EQU
0 - 2
SFE
33%
28%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
EQU
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 1
CCP
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 3
CCP
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
6 - 0
RPO
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 2
GEN
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |