Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 5-2
Santa Fe vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CUC
0 - 1
SFE
33%
28%
38%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
HUI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 1
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 3
SFE
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
BOT
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
COR
0 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |