Santa Fe vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 0
SFE
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
SFE
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BLO
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 0
EST
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 2
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
BLO
4 - 2
BOL
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -2 |