Santa Fe vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
SFE
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAS
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
SFE
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SFE
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 1
NAC
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |