Santa Fe vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
SFE
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 1
QUI
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
SFE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SFE
0 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 1
SFE
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
AME
58%
24%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 3
ENV
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |