Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 4-0
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SFE
1 - 0
UNI
65%
23%
13%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
SFE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
SFE
3 - 1
BUC
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 4
SFE
25%
29%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PAS
0 - 1
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 1
EQU
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 1
PAS
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 4
SFE
25%
29%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |