Santa Engracia vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Engracia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIN
68%
18%
15%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 4
UNC
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUN
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
ALE
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUY
0 - 2
BAR
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
MCD
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
PIN
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UNC
3 - 2
BAR
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NOV
3 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |