Santa Cruz UJAF vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz UJAF
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
SCU
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
10 Mar. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 0
CAB
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
03 Mar. 2024 |
AAL
1 - 1
SCU
44%
25%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
25 Feb. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 0
MAD
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
18 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
SCU
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
T66
20%
22%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
10 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 2
HAL
78%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
02 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 7
SON
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
25 Feb. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 1
HAL
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
17 Feb. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
YUN
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |