Santa Cruz UD vs Atlético Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+309%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
APU
1 - 4
SCR
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
STO
2 - 5
SCR
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SCR
3 - 2
COR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
INF
2 - 1
SCR
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SCR
4 - 1
ALM
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
AMG
4 - 0
VRB
47%
21%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
APU
1 - 1
AMG
27%
20%
53%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AMG
3 - 2
STO
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COR
5 - 2
AMG
62%
18%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AMG
0 - 1
INF
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |