Santa Cruz SE vs Desportiva Aracaju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+727%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 3
SCS
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SCS
2 - 0
CEC
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SCS
3 - 0
ROS
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
3 - 0
SCS
49%
22%
30%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 3
GUA
18%
20%
62%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Desportiva Aracaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 0
ADB
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 3
DAC
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |