Santa Cruz RS vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SLU
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAX
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CAX
3 - 0
SAP
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ECS
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
3 - 1
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAP
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |