Santa Cruz RS vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
NOV
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
YPI
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAJ
3 - 1
PEL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEL
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |