Santa Cruz RS vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEL
48%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAX
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAC
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
5 - 0
CAN
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
1 - 0
NOV
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SCI
0 - 0
NOV
83%
13%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
ECS
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |