Santa Cruz RS vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
YPI
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCI
11%
20%
70%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SLU
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 0
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SLU
1 - 1
LAJ
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
2 - 2
CAN
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
2 - 1
JUV
22%
23%
54%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ECS
1 - 0
LAJ
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |