Santa Cruz RS vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
YPI
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
90%
8%
2%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
SLU
0 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAX
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 4
VER
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
LAJ
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
2 - 1
VER
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
LAJ
4 - 3
ISM
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
LAJ
95%
4%
1%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
LAJ
0 - 3
CRU
45%
26%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |