Santa Cruz RS vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ECS
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
ECS
16%
22%
63%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +7 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ISM
0 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
ISM
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ECS
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ECP
0 - 1
JEC
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
JEC
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |