Santa Cruz RS vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUV
8%
19%
74%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
LAJ
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
YPI
9%
17%
75%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |