Santa Cruz RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
71.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ISM
0 - 3
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUN
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
VER
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
GRE
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
9%
20%
70%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
6 - 0
ISM
89%
9%
3%
|
85 | 46 | 39 | 0 |