Santa Cruz RS vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ECA
0 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
YPI
2 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
VER
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 2
CAX
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 3
GRE
11%
20%
70%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 2
GRÊ
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |