Santa Cruz RS vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
JUV
22%
24%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
YPI
4 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAP
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SLU
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
ISM
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
4 - 0
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCI
6%
15%
79%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |