Santa Cruz RS vs Ceramica AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ECS
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
YPI
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ceramica AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
0 - 0
MOG
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
0 - 2
CAC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
CAC
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAC
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |