Santa Cruz RN vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASS
58%
25%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
GLO
30%
27%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TUP
2 - 2
CAL
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AMF
5 - 0
TUP
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 0
TUP
18%
20%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |