Santa Cruz RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 2
GLO
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 3
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
FEL
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
POT
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
POT
4 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
62%
19%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
POT
74%
18%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
POT
2 - 1
GLO
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |