Santa Cruz RN vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
16%
23%
60%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 1
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
POT
2 - 1
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |